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Today’s Mortgage Rates Climb: May 14, 2026

Today’s average interest rate on a 30-year purchase mortgage is 6.54%, according to Zillow data provided to U.S. News. That’s slightly higher than yesterday, when rates were 6.506%. For refinancing mortgages, today’s 30-year rate is 6.628%, and the current 15-year rate is 5.711%.

Interest rates on home loans have risen since the beginning of the U.S. war in Iran. The Middle East conflict has put upward pressure on oil prices, which can make other items more expensive to manufacture and transport. Put simply, higher oil prices mean higher inflation — and higher inflation means higher interest rates.

In fact, mortgage rates spiked after April’s consumer price index report was released on Tuesday, showing inflation increased 3.8% annually — the highest rate increase since May 2023. Much of that inflationary pressure can be directly attributed to rising oil prices. “Looking ahead, a more meaningful move toward 6% mortgage rates will likely require broader stability in the Middle East, where a credible path toward resolution and more normal oil flow could help push rates lower,” says Jeff DerGurahian, chief investment officer and head economist at the lender loanDepot, in a statement.

Most experts expect mortgage rates to stay relatively elevated over the next few years, stuck above 6% for the 30-year fixed term. Although there’s always the chance that something unexpected could happen in the U.S. economy that could send rates tumbling lower, it’s unlikely that rates will fall below 3% or even 4% in the foreseeable future.

[Read: Best Mortgage Lenders]

Current Mortgage Purchase Rates

Here are today’s interest rates for conforming purchase mortgages by loan term:

30-year fixed: 6.54%

20-year fixed: 6.545%

15-year fixed: 5.746%

10-year fixed: 5.529%

7-year ARM: 6.718%

5-year ARM: 6.699%

3-year ARM: 8.25%

And here are the current government-backed and nonconforming mortgage rates by loan type:

Jumbo: 6.451%

VA: 5.78%

FHA: 5.49%

Current Mortgage Refinance Rates

Here are today’s mortgage refinance rates:

30-year fixed refi: 6.628%

20-year fixed refi: 6.658%

15-year fixed refi: 5.711%

10-year fixed refi: 6.124%

Mortgage refinance rates tend to follow the same trends as mortgage purchase rates, although interest rates on a mortgage refinance are often a few basis points higher than on purchase mortgages.

[Read: Best Mortgage Refinance Lenders.]

Mortgage Rate Trends in 2026 So Far

Freddie Mac collects weekly mortgage rate data, which can help provide context for mortgage borrowers on how and why mortgage rates change over time. Since the mortgage giant began collecting data in 1971, the median mortgage rate is 7.24%.

The 30-year fixed rate fell to a historic low of 2.65% in January 2021, driving up demand for purchase and refinance mortgages. Since then, mortgage rates rose to nearly 8% in October 2023 before coming down to around 6.5% currently. Still, that’s nothing compared with the record high of 18.63% recorded in 1981.

Mortgage Monthly Payment Calculator

Your mortgage interest rate is just one aspect of your monthly housing payment. You’ll need to carefully consider how your home’s purchase price will impact your budget so you don’t buy more house than you can comfortably afford.

The mortgage term — or the length of your loan — will also significantly influence your monthly payments. Most borrowers opt for a 30-year fixed mortgage, which can keep monthly payments affordable because they are spread over a long repayment term. But if you can afford the higher monthly payments of a 15-year mortgage, it can save you tens of thousands of dollars in interest payments over time.

You’ll also need to consider property taxes, home insurance, homeowners association fees and private mortgage insurance, if applicable. You can use the calculator below to run the numbers for your financial situation.

How to Shop for a Mortgage

The mortgage rates we display on this page are national averages from lenders as provided to U.S. News by Zillow, not necessarily the exact rate you’ll receive. Mortgage rates fluctuate throughout the day, and some lenders may be able to offer more favorable pricing for your situation than others.

“With spring homebuying season in full swing, aspiring buyers should remember to shop around for the best mortgage rate, as they can potentially save thousands of dollars by getting multiple quotes,” says Sam Khater, chief economist at Freddie Mac, in a statement.

Here are a few tips to help you shop for the lowest mortgage rate possible for your financial situation:

Get your finances in order. Collect the documents you’ll need to apply for a mortgage using this handy checklist. You should also check your credit score and get a copy of your credit report to see where you stand.

Apply through three to five lenders. Be sure to consider different loan types (such as FHA versus conventional) as well as different types of lenders (like online lenders versus credit unions). Keep your rate shopping to a two-week window to minimize the negative impact to your credit score.

Compare loan estimates. This document will outline the loan’s costs, including origination charges, lender credits, discount points, as well as the loan’s interest rate and annual percentage rate, or APR. The APR includes the interest rate as well as any fees, making it a holistic way to compare the cost of multiple loan offers.

Check out this sample loan estimate from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to get a better idea of what to expect when comparing loan offers.

More from U.S. News

4 in 5 Homebuyers Are Still Waiting for Lower Mortgage Rates

When Will Mortgage Rates Go Down? See the 2026 Forecast

Historical Mortgage Rates: See Averages and Trends by Decade

Today’s Mortgage Rates Climb: May 14, 2026 originally appeared on usnews.com

A tropical depression could soon form in the Atlantic — but can it survive El Niño’s hostile conditions?

(CNN) — El Niño has been hitting the snooze button on Atlantic hurricane season for weeks, largely preventing the basin from waking up and churning up storms, but at least one potential tropical troublemaker has a chance to shake the season out of its slumber.The National Hurricane Center is outlooking an area in the tropical Atlantic that has about a 70% or “high” chance of becoming at least a tropical depression late this week. There’s also another area in the northern Atlantic that has a much lower chance to develop, and only in the next day or two.The next tropical storm that forms anywhere in the basin will be named Cristobal.🌤️ Get your local forecast in the CNN Weather appMid-August is typically when the tropics enters its busiest stretch, but any upcoming contenders for tropical development are going to be fighting an uphill battle to form and stay alive against El Niño’s influence.Toe-to-toe with El NiñoThe main challenge these systems face is El Niño’s abundant storm-killing wind shear. It’s a force that’s more likely to stick around as El Niño grows into a potentially record-breaking Super El Niño in the coming months.Wind shear is a change in wind speed or direction at different levels in the atmosphere that can prevent storms from forming in the first place, keep them from strengthening or tear them apart completely. It’s now firmly in place over what should be the most active parts of the Atlantic.This is the exact setup that prompted numerous predictions for a below-average season in the first place. Hurricane season has certainly been living up to those expectations so far: It’s been the least active start to the season since 2009.Arthur and Bertha have been the only tropical storms to date. Both came alive right along the Gulf Coast and were battered by wind shear every step of the way, which prevented them from strengthening significantly and limited their impacts overall.Development chancesThe upcoming tropical chances may face a similar story, just in different locations.The area outlooked with the high chance in the eastern Atlantic marks the first time all season a system could actually form somewhere other than near the United States’ coastline.This area of the Atlantic — called the main development region — should be getting very active at this point in a typical season as wind shear relaxes and ocean temperatures soar, providing tropical systems with ample fuel.But thanks to El Niño, that wind shear remains stubbornly in place and has recently become record strong, according to Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane expert with Colorado State University.There could be a window after Wednesday for the potential system with a high chance of development to get enough of a boost of energy to overcome some of the shear.It could become a tropical depression as soon as Thursday as it tracks west across the tropical Atlantic. But it’s unclear how much stronger it could become.Computer forecast models are also still uncertain exactly where the system could track from there. Some take it toward the eastern Caribbean late this weekend, where it would face more wind shear. Others curve the system northeast of the region, where it could eventually escape the worst shear and head toward the open Atlantic if it survives that long.The other potential development area has a slimmer time frame to spin to life before conditions get more hostile around midweek.Season to dateA normal Atlantic hurricane season typically has at least three tropical storms by August 3 and four by August 15. Bertha — the season’s second storm and the last to roam anywhere in the basin — impacted the US Gulf Coast in late July.The season is also behind on hurricanes: The first hurricane of the season typically forms around August 11. Hurricane Erin formed just a few days after that threshold in 2025 and 2024 had already seen two hurricanes by that point.Mid-August to mid-October is when most tropical storms and hurricanes form, so there’s still plenty of time for tropical systems to make an attempt. However, multiple groups including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Colorado State University are growing increasingly confident in their forecasts for a muted season overall.NOAA released a forecast update last week that upped their chances of a below-average season from 55% to 75%. That forecast also notably dropped its range for the overall number of major hurricanes — Category 3 or greater — from one to three to zero to two.If the 2026 season ends without a major hurricane, it would be the first time without such a powerful storm since 2013.The-CNN-Wire™ & © 2026 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.
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