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Joe Manchin reenters the political orbit with a new independent experiment

(CNN) — At 78, Joe Manchin is stepping back into politics.

A year and a half after leaving office fed up with the major parties, the former West Virginia senator is launching a new effort, the Independent Leadership Council, to recruit and support independent candidates across the country.

“We’re not trying to start another party,” Manchin told CNN in an interview with his daughter, who’s also leading the council. “We’re trying to get a person who can be committed to – and totally committed to – being an independent with an independent voice. They can vote with Democrats and Republicans when they’re right and speak out against them when they’re wrong.”

Manchin kicked off the effort Thursday by convening candidates in West Virginia. Attendees include California Rep. Kevin Kiley, a former Republican running for reelection as an independent; Seth Bodnar, an independent candidate for Senate in Montana; and Michael Bridgford, an independent candidate for the House in Iowa. The group is also eying races in Alaska and Washington.

The initiative comes at a time of deepening disillusionment with both major parties, and as a record high 45% of American adults identify as political independents, according to a Gallup poll released earlier this year.

Advocates for independent candidates believe they have more momentum than in recent memory. In several states, independent candidates for Congress are attracting significant funding and the attention of their opponents from major parties. And with both chambers so closely divided, the Manchins believe an independent lawmaker can wield tremendous influence in the next Congress.

“It doesn’t take too many to say, ‘C’mon, people, get your act together,’” Manchin said. “They can bring them to their knees and make people understand, ‘This is crazy.’”

The Manchins said the summit will serve as an opening dialogue with the candidates, but if they decide to support them, they could campaign for them in person, raise money for them and help organize on the ground in their districts. If they can help even one candidate get elected in November, the father-daughter duo think they can have an impact on the next presidential election.

“Our hope is that this is kind of our pilot, experiment, trying to prove it can be done,” Heather Manchin, a former pharmaceutical executive, said, “and then I think Katie bar the door if it can be done.”

Other people involved in the new group include Adam Brandon and Seth Cohen, who are both senior advisers at the Independent Center, a nonprofit that advocates for independent voters. Brandon is the former head of the conservative group FreedomWorks, while Cohen is the former chief impact officer at Forbes Media and an advocate for voting rights.

Manchin’s disillusionment

The effort may be Joe Manchin’s biggest political project since he retired from the Senate in January 2025. Fed up with the extremes in both major parties, he spent his final months in office as an independent after serving as a Democrat for decades.

Since leaving the Senate, Manchin has published a book, promoted his daughter’s centrist political nonprofit, Americans Together, and continued to make appearances in Washington. Last month, he joined a panel discussion on the national debt at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank, where the moderator was one of his former colleagues, Republican Rob Portman of Ohio.

“Manchin is sometimes a Democrat, sometimes an independent, sometimes a Republican,” Portman said at one point. “I just don’t know quite where he is today.”

“I don’t either,” Manchin quipped.

Manchin, a frequent critic of the progressive left, is concerned about the rise of democratic socialists who’ve been winning Democratic primaries across the country, suggesting it’s a product of a party “without a national figure.” But he said Republicans are still too beholden to their extremes as well and argued open primaries would address the broader issue.

“When they have closed primaries, what they were able to do is hijack the system,” Manchin said, bringing up the recent New York primary where candidates backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a democratic socialist, did well. “They’ve been able to outperform in a closed system.”

Surveying the current Senate, Manchin lamented what he described as a lack of deal-makers in his mold. He said he was unsure which senators there now are telling their colleagues: “C’mon, guys, let’s go talk. Sit this down. Let’s work this out.”

“That bothers me,” Manchin said.

One of the more independent-minded Senate Democrats these days is Sen. John Fetterman, whose frustrations with his party have raised the possibility he could leave it. Asked if Fetterman should become an independent, Manchin said the Pennsylvania senator “needs to do what John’s comfortable doing.” But he suggested Fetterman, a onetime critic of Manchin, was from a different political mold.

“He’s for all the hardcore Democrat issues that I wasn’t for,” Manchin said.

While Manchin weighed a presidential run in 2024 with the centrist group No Labels — and says he misses his many “friends” in the Senate — he no longer seems interested in running for office.

“I don’t see me getting back into the fray, I really don’t,” he said. “I think I’ve tried it for 42, 43, 44, years and been fairly successful at working with people on both sides and bringing people together. Now I’m trying to help people around the country that want that same outcome.”

An independent moment

Instead, Manchin is deepening his work for independent politicians during a moment when they have a new champion in Congress and viable candidates across the midterm map.

In California, Kiley is seeking reelection as an independent for an open seat in a Democratic-leaning district after a wave of mid-decade redistricting. Kiley, who continues to caucus with Republicans, faces Democrat Richard Pan in November’s general election.

In an interview, Kiley said he wants to be part of building more infrastructure for independents like himself and is “very happy” to be working with Manchin.

“He’s someone who demonstrated during his time in office that he was willing to go against both sides when necessary to serve his constituents,” Kiley said. “[There are] plenty of policy issues where we came out in different ways, but that’s OK. We need more people like that who are independent-minded.”

Despite the optimism around independent candidates in the midterms, they continue to face significant structural challenges, such as gaining ballot access and fundraising without a built-in network, as well as hurdles unique to their own races. In Montana, Bodnar is locked in a standoff with Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead who has resisted pressure to drop out and give the former University of Montana president a more direct matchup against GOP nominee Kurt Alme.

That happened in Nebraska, where Democratic Senate nominee Cindy Burbank ended her campaign to give Dan Osborn, who is running again as an independent after a strong 2024 showing, a clearer field against GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts. And in Alaska’s only congressional district, independent Bill Hill’s fortunes recently rose after his most serious Democratic opponent, pastor Matt Schultz, dropped out and endorsed Hill.

Hill, a commercial fisherman and former superintendent of his local school district, is part of a crowded field running in an all-party primary on August 18 for the seat currently held by Republican Rep. Nick Begich

During a recent interview in Anchorage, shortly after returning from a week on his boat fishing salmon in Bristol Bay, he outlined a varied political history. He said he has voted for Republicans Sen. Lisa Murkowski and the late former Sen. Ted Stevens. Hill said he supports abortion rights — a largely Democratic position — but is also “pro-Second Amendment because firearms are an important tool for my subsistence lifestyle.”

“Like most Alaskans, I don’t fit into a neat little political box,” he said, noting that nearly two-thirds of Alaska voters are not registered with either major party. “I’ve been a lifelong independent, and I wouldn’t run otherwise.”

This story has been updated with additional information.

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Russia and Ukraine have stepped up their aerial war. Civilians are paying the price

(CNN) — The front lines of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine are largely stagnant. But in the skies, the war is ratcheting up.Each sides’ offensive capabilities now appear to be outstripping their air defenses, analysts say. That means more strikes are hitting their targets, more critical and economic infrastructure is being damaged, and more civilians are killed each week.“We definitely see an increased number of (attack) events, an increased number of casualties as well,” said Olha Polishchuk, the Eastern Europe research manager at ACLED, a global conflict monitor. “There has been an escalation also with regard to the variety of targets that are hit.”Ukraine has long been able to hit areas of Russia that are thousands of miles away from the front line, but the sophistication of its drone technologies has increased rapidly in the last year. In late June, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced a 40-day campaign to ramp up drone strikes deep into Russian territory – a push that his top adviser has said will continue.“That is a significant issue for Russia, because obviously the past 40 days have demonstrated that they have a serious weakness when it comes to interception, and Ukraine has been able to reach their targets quite successfully,” said Natia Seskuria, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, a UK-based security think tank.Rather than occasional long-range strikes on Russian oil refineries, Ukraine is now carrying out frequent attacks on refineries, oil tankers, power substations and broader energy infrastructure, according to ACLED’s Polishchuk. Kyiv has also increased aerial attacks aimed at disrupting Russian military logistics in the occupied eastern areas.The analysts also noted an increase in attacks targeting the Russian economy more broadly, such as strikes on the warehouses of Russia’s largest online retailer, Wildberries. The Ukrainian government has said the facilities are legitimate military targets because the company supplies Russia’s frontline troops.Kyiv also recently broke through Russian defenses in St. Petersburg and has repeatedly hit Moscow.It appears to be an effort to bring the war home to everyday Russian people and to place more pressure on the business elite, who may have some sway with the Kremlin, to push for an end to the full-scale invasion.In addition, Seskuria said, Ukraine’s long-range strike campaign has a “pragmatic aim to slow down Russia’s summer offensive, in terms of stretching Russia’s resources towards intercepting the drone attacks.”Earlier in the conflict, Russia concentrated its air defense systems at the border with Ukraine and along the front line, Ukrainian military sources previously told CNN. But Kyiv’s strategy has been to target many different locations inside occupied areas of eastern Ukraine and Russia, forcing the Russian military to spread its air defense systems into a more threadbare tapestry.Recent attacks have also exposed how Russia’s air defense systems were not designed to combat drones, but rather to shoot down conventional military aircraft and missiles, analysts previously told CNN. Video captured in June showed Russian soldiers scrambling to respond to one attack by firing off man portable air defense systems (MANPADS) on a busy highway.Ukrainian forces have also slammed Russian-occupied Crimea, with ACLED recording a significant uptick in June of strikes targeting the peninsula’s power and transportation infrastructure.But the increase in air strikes goes both ways.“We’ve seen all of those strikes that Ukraine conducts also mirrored in Ukraine,” Polishchuk said. “So, after the attacks on Wildberries, for example, now a lot of warehouses in Ukraine belonging to the Rozetka electronic store have been targeted.”Meanwhile, on the front line, ACLED recorded a decline in armed clashes in recent months. Russia continues to push forward and capture some small settlements, but overall movement “has been very, very slow,” Polishchuk said.Civilian death toll mountingThe escalation in the air war has led to even more civilian casualties.In June, the United Nations recorded the highest number of civilians in Ukraine killed and injured in a single month since 2022. In Ukraine, at least 1,396 civilians were killed and 7,978 wounded in the first half of this year – a 37% increase compared to the same time period in 2025. The vast majority of those civilian casualties occurred in areas of Ukrainian government control, according to the UN, but some were recorded in Russian-occupied areas.The Russian foreign ministry has said that at least 797 Russian civilians have been killed so far this year. CNN and international monitoring groups are unable to independently verify that figure.Russia’s nightly assaults on Ukraine well exceed the number of attacks it is experiencing at home. Last month, Moscow launched a daily average of 172 strikes on Ukraine, compared to 28 on average launched by Kyiv.And for months, Russia has increased the number of drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles it fires in each attack wave, a strategy intended to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses.Those mass aerial attacks are in addition to small drone attacks targeting civilians in cities close to the front line, who have previously described feeling like victims of a “drone safari” carried out by Russian troops. Russia denies targeting civilians.In July, Russia fired 139 ballistic missiles into Ukraine, more than in any other month this year, according to analysis by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Ballistic missiles are particularly difficult to defend against because they move at a speed and altitude that requires US-made Patriot interceptor missiles, which are both expensive and in short supply.Earlier this week, at least 17 people were killed in Kyiv and surrounding areas as Russia fired more than two dozen ballistic missiles and anti-ship missiles – none of which were shot down.Zelensky has repeatedly appealed to allies for more Patriot interceptors, but the war with Iran has complicated that effort, having diminished stockpiles of US-made weapons. Ukrainian hopes were buoyed when US President Donald Trump promised at last month’s NATO summit to allow Ukraine to manufacture Patriot interceptors on its own soil. But Trump later walked that back.Window for diplomacy?Beyond the Patriot interceptors, some observers have noted that both the United States and Ukraine’s allies in Europe could be doing more to bolster the country’s position, and to enable talks that finally end the four-and-a-half-year war.The US had allocated more than $130 billion (115 billion euros) in support to Ukraine before February 2025, according to the Kiel Institute, a think tank based in Germany. But Congress has not passed any new major financial or military aid packages for Ukraine during the second Trump administration.Ukraine does appear to have some momentum right now, and it’s plausible that some negotiation could happen at a time when Kyiv is in a more confident position, Polishchuk said. “But from what we’ve seen so far, it has been so ineffective to try to negotiate with Russia.”She said it’s more likely that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war calculation would only change based on internal pressure in Russia, which could increase as its economy suffers.RUSI’s Seskuria also said she doesn’t see a strong window for diplomacy right now.“The problem is that (Putin) no longer has the leverage that he had back in the days when he started negotiating with the United States, and the United States back then had a more favorable position towards Russia,” she told CNN, adding that it would currently be hard for the Kremlin to portray an end to the war as any great victory.“I think the other option is escalation, which is probably more likely.”CNN’s Alex Leeds Matthews and Anna Chernova contributed to this report.The-CNN-Wire™ & © 2026 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.
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