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I’ve spent years studying economic data. These Americans taught me what ‘affordability’ really means

(CNN) — A Reporter’s Notebook from four cities, 5,000 miles, three dozen interviews and the people I can’t stop thinking about.

We were a few minutes into a drive when Jolene Simecek said something that left me speechless.

She was steering me through Parma, Ohio, narrating the new subdivisions as they slid past — block after block of brand-new homes she’s made her peace with never owning. Around here, she said, they don’t last on the market long enough to put in an offer. Her parents never built the kind of wealth you hand down. So you rent, and you work harder — 16-hour days, never home — and the math still won’t move. Not for her, not for most people her age.

“What kind of pressure does that put on you?” I asked.

STREAMING NOW: What happens when hard work is no longer enough? Priced Out in America follows families trapped in the affordability crisis, revealing structural forces that have profoundly and permanently reshaped the U.S. economy.

She didn’t hesitate. “It’s not fun. I wanted a yard for my kid. Just the normal American dream — a house, a picket fence, a yard. And it just seems like that’s more and more out of touch. Not reality.”

I sat in silence. When I got back to DC and watched the tape, the weight of the moment was visible — a couple of seconds of dead air while I sat with what she’d said.

Here’s what the camera couldn’t pick up. For months before I booked a flight, I’d been buried in economic data, chasing a theory I’d never said out loud: that the cost-of-living crisis wasn’t just making life expensive. It was eviscerating the deal we’d all signed onto and believed. Go to school, get a job, work hard and do the right things. Buy the first home, raise the family, build a little wealth, buy the bigger home.

Jolene is 42, a single mom, working since she was 13. She gave up her apartment and went $15,000 into debt to go back to nursing school, betting on herself and the shortage in healthcare. The tradeoff: her sister’s basement, because there were no other options. Her new roommates are five and three.

As we drove past her old apartment complex, she walked me through the math that forced her to leave. Her rent had gone from $785 to nearly $1,600 — for the same unit – over the course of seven years. Her income hadn’t moved.

“I’ve already paid a quarter million dollars in rent in my life,” she said. “I should already have the home with the equity paid off.” Then her voice trailed off. “But I didn’t make the right decisions.”

Jolene and I are the same age, same graduating class, same state, just opposite corners – her side of Cleveland, my side of Toledo. For a while our lives ran parallel. Then they split, and I can’t tell you where or why. She did all the things we were told to do, and she’s living in her sister’s basement. In the weeks after, the only answer I could come up with was an old proverb: There but for the grace of God go I.

What I built before I ever left

“Affordability” is everywhere now — a clipboard word that flattens Jolene into a data point shorthanded for poll-tested talking points. A word that detaches itself from the actual people experiencing the long-fraying fabric that underpins the economic promise of America tear straight through.

The stock market sets new records on a weekly, sometimes daily basis. Corporate earnings, productivity growth and consumer spending are all consistently robust. Those who do well are unquestionably doing even better right now, and, if you look deeper into the numbers, driving more and more of the broader economy.

Those with more modest means are falling further behind and, perhaps most alarmingly, finding fewer pathways to the economic mobility that has helped define the American dream.

The ripple effect of that dynamic is now a defining feature of the country – economically, societally, politically.

So I went looking for what sits underneath those topline economic numbers. Few households are undone by one ER visit or one flat tire. What breaks you is the accelerating climb of the big costs — housing, childcare, the vanishing retirement floor — until a household sits so close to the edge that the flat tire nudges them off the cliff.

This project isn’t a ledger. It doesn’t try to catalog every line-item pressing on every American household.

Instead, I set out to trace the structural weaknesses that form the increasingly brittle architecture from which thousands of individual hardships descend. One household’s squeeze may look nothing like its neighbor’s, but trace each far enough back and the same few fractures are doing the work.

Cleveland: the “most affordable” big city in the Midwest, where home prices have surged more than anywhere in the country. Boston: childcare, the expense that ripples through everything. Atlanta: glittering on the top line while real inflation for people just getting by runs closer to 8 percent. Tampa: where the retirement bargain comes apart.

‘I sleep in my car’

People let a stranger with a camera into the rawest corners of their lives and told the truth about the most sensitive subject in American life.

In a suburb outside Boston, I met Greg and Audrey Dunn, two working parents making $150,000, with three kids under four and a childcare bill six to seven times their mortgage. They’ve borrowed against the house and sold a property to cover their childcare bills. They insisted my crew sit for family dinner first — the soft anarchy familiar to a father of four. Late that night they laid their printed bills across the kitchen island and walked me through them, line by line. “It has to work,” Audrey told me.

In Atlanta, Mayra Martinez and I walked the Beltline — the gleaming greenway everyone points to as proof of an economic boom. In her eyes it was the opposite: the clearest picture of everything her immigrant family was never offered. The home she grew up in, that her family could have bought for $100,000 a decade ago, is worth seven times that now. Her father works construction; her mother cleans houses. They built and maintained this place, I said, and now can’t afford to enjoy it. “Exactly,” she said.

Phebie White is 68, a lifetime of work behind her. Her fixed Social Security check doesn’t move; her rent climbed from $850 to $1,250 over the course of a decade. As we sat across the kitchen table in her one-bedroom Tampa apartment, she walked me through the arithmetic of a single flat tire — without $80, she drove on the doughnut spare until she could scrape together the money for a real replacement. What you do when your income’s frozen and everything else isn’t? “You pray, for real. Or you get another job — and a lot of times they don’t wanna hire old people like me.”

The one bill Phebie never misses is her car insurance. Confused, I asked her to explain. She has to keep it paid, she said, in case she has to sleep in the car.

That answer left me visibly taken aback on camera — and still unprepared for Elen Trosino. She arrived at a free clinic in full scrubs; I assumed she was a volunteer. She’d come straight from her nursing job, and she was a patient. She’d beaten cancer the year before, but it had obliterated her finances. “The person I live with wanted me to move out, so I did. Problem is where will I go? I sleep in my car.”

“Wait, really? Right now?”

“Like a week now. Finding a room is easy, but what about the down payment? The security deposit? I just started working this year. Last year was a battle. So, I don’t know.”

The fractures in the foundation

Set Phebie and Elen side by side and they share almost nothing — different races, ages, professions and politics. What they share is the foundation. What they share is what underpins the frustration, anxiety and fear consuming so many households that cuts across race, gender, generation, geography and a widening swath of income levels.

Their stories are the story.

To sit on camera with a stranger and walk line by line through your finances — to share fear and feelings of failure with such candor is an extraordinary act of trust. It’s also a window into something else I heard repeatedly over the course of my travels: just how alone, just how unseen they all feel.

And yet, under daily pressure that would buckle many of us, they were more resilient, more openhearted, more alive than almost anyone I’ve talked to on camera. Each and every one of them.

“I feel like it’ll pay off in the end, and I’ll pay off my school debt and stay here as long as I can and as long they’ll keep me,” Jolene told me as we sat in her sister’s basement, now doubling as her apartment, every inch covered by still-packed boxes. “Then buy a home and one day be able to retire, and we can actually enjoy everything I’ve worked for.”

A relentless reality

In the weeks since my travels, there’s been what I can only describe as an auto-play loop of moments from those conversations running through my brain. During my commute to and from work. Lying in bed at night. In the middle of my 10-year-old’s travel baseball games, of all places.

I came into these interviews immersed in reams of data and economic research that painted a far deeper, rapidly accelerating systemic rupture. I came home unable to stop thinking about the people.

But what’s really stayed with me isn’t any single moment or individual hardship. It’s the all-consuming relentlessness of what they all faced — when “hard” isn’t a rough patch but a permanent condition. I grew up on the idea that this was the country where the arc eventually bends. What I kept hearing was the inverse: people who put their heads down for 30, 40, 50 years and watched the math work against them, every month.

I’ve thought a lot about Phebie’s line that she can’t dwell on the bills because the second she does, she’ll “get stuck.” That isn’t a person having a hard time. That’s someone treading open water who has figured out that the only way not to drown is to never stop kicking.

The US economy asks millions to do exactly that, indefinitely — then points at the calm surface and calls it a healthy sea.

“I don’t know how more people aren’t talking about it because this isn’t how it should be,” Jolene said. “I work hard. I don’t expect anything for free. I just don’t know why it isn’t a little bit easier.”

We’d finished our interview and continued chatting as the crew broke down.

“It didn’t feel like this when we were growing up.”

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Wisconsin’s Democratic showdown and more primary races to watch today

▶ Watch Video: Several states gear up for high-stakes primaries, including Wisconsin, Vermont and Minnesota Six states are holding primaries on Tuesday, with the unpredictable Democratic primaries in Wisconsin and Minnesota coming to a close as South Carolina Republicans choose a successor for the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's seat. In Wisconsin, the democratic socialist Francesca Hong and the more moderate David Crowley are duking it out for the Democratic nomination in the governor's race after two other candidates dropped out of the race. President Trump's ally, Rep. Tom Tiffany, is all but certain to win the GOP nomination.With Minnesota Democratic Sen. Tina Smith not running for reelection, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig are fighting for the Democratic nomination for Senate in another proxy battle between two different factions of the party. Sen. Amy Klobuchar is opting to run for governor, and faces no significant primary opposition in the race to replace Gov. Tim Walz, who is not running for reelection. On the ballot for the Republican nomination for the Minnesota Senate seat, Michele Tafoya, a former sportscaster, is considered the frontrunner against Adam Schwarze, a retired Navy SEAL, and Royce White, a former professional basketball player who was the 2024 GOP candidate. In the governor's race, MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell, Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth and businessman Kendall Qualls are the major contenders for the GOP nomination.And in South Carolina, the sprint to Tuesday's special primary election to replace Graham on the ticket comes to a head. Graham's sister, Sen. Darline Graham, has been appointed to fill out the remainder of his term and is facing off against nine primary challengers for a spot on the ballot in November. Here are the major races to watch today:South CarolinaTen Republicans are facing off in South Carolina Tuesday in a special primary election to represent the party on the ballot in November, after Graham's sudden death last month. Graham, a four-term senator, had secured the GOP nomination in June in his bid for six more years representing South Carolina. After his death, his sister, Darline Graham, was appointed to serve until January. And days after she was sworn into office, she announced that she was running for a full term representing the Palmetto State — with Mr. Trump's encouragement.But the president's endorsement of Graham didn't prevent a slew of Republicans from jumping into the race. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman are also seeking the nomination, along with former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford and businessman Mark Lynch, who lost the June primary to the late senator. If no candidate secures a majority of the vote in Tuesday's primary, the contest could head to a runoff later this month to determine who takes on Democrat Annie Andrews in November.Wisconsin governor's race Mr. Trump won perennial swing state Wisconsin in 2024 by less than a point, and the state is one of only two in the country with one Republican senator and one Democratic senator. Two-term Democratic Gov. Tony Evers is not running for reelection, opening up the Democratic nomination for governor. Former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, who lost the 2022 Senate race against Sen. Ron Johnson by one point, had thrown his hat in the ring, as well as Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and Francesca Hong, a state lawmaker and former chef. The race started to take a completely different shape in July, when Crowley dropped his bid and threw his support behind Rodriguez, who was considered more of an establishment candidate. But Rodriguez dropped out days later after discovering her campaign had less money in the bank than previously believed. Although Barnes had pulled out a surprise victory in the 2022 Senate primary as a progressive candidate and won statewide as the state's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018, Hong had risen to be the frontrunner. With Wisconsin voters facing those hard-left choices on the ballot, Crowley then announced he would return to the campaign trail as a centrist Democrat. Crowley said in a debate last month that he initially made the decision to drop out based on data, but "we were going off false data," prompting him to return to the race.Barnes then announced on July 30 — less than two weeks before the primary — that he would be dropping his bid, saying, "it's becoming very clear who the Democratic nominee is going to be," pointing to Hong. Barnes' announcement came as the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel was investigating allegations that he was taking advantage of his role in the party to have sexual encounters with young adult women. Barnes has not addressed the allegations and has not been accused of any crimes. The two frontrunners in the Democratic primary are now Hong and Crowley, who has since gotten Evers' backing, setting up a battle between the party's moderate and progressive factions. Barnes' and Rodriguez's names remain on the ballot due to their late withdrawals from the race.The rise of Hong, who had the backing of the Wisconsin chapters of the Democratic Socialists of America, comes a year after progressive Zohran Mamdani won the New York City mayor's race and several other members and those aligned with the organization have notched victories in primaries this year. But some of Hong's social media comments from 2019 to 2021 have also come to light: She called for defunding the police and abolishing ICE and the U.S. Senate, disparaged that there were "too many old white people who didn't think we spoke English" at a rural location of the Wisconsin favorite Culver's and called to "cancel Thanksgiving." Hong has disavowed some of these comments, and told Politico last week that Thanksgiving is her favorite holiday.Tiffany, the GOP candidate, does not face any significant primary challengers. Tiffany is a member of the hard-right House Freedom Caucus, and has been one of Mr. Trump's allies in denying the outcome of the 2020 election. Wisconsin House racesWisconsin has eight congressional districts, with two Democrats and six Republicans representing the state in the House. Democrats have been focused on flipping two of those GOP-held seats.Wisconsin's 3rd District, located in a rural part of the state heavily affected by Mr. Trump's agriculture and tariff policies, is represented by Rep. Derrick Van Orden, an ally of Mr. Trump's. Van Orden defeated Democrat Rebecca Cooke by 11,000 votes in 2022 and was reelected by about the same amount in 2024. The district is considered a toss-up by Sabato Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, and the Democrats' House campaign arm has prioritized the district in its Red to Blue program.  Cooke, who was defeated in a primary in 2024, is running again for the Democratic nomination, and this time has the backing of the Democrats' House campaign arm. Cooke, who has worked as a political consultant, faces Eau Claire City Council member Emily Berge. Democrats are also targeting Wisconsin's 1st District, the district once represented by former House Speaker Paul Ryan and represented by Rep. Bryan Steil since 2018, although the district is considered Likely Republican by Sabato Crystal Ball and would likely be a reach for any Democrat. Three Democrats – Mitchell Berman, Lorenzo Santos and Miguel Aranda — are running to take on Steil, who won reelection by nine points in 2024 and has $6 million cash on hand. With Tiffany running for governor, his seat in the 7th District, a safe Republican seat, is now open. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy's son-in-law Michael Alfonso is considered the frontrunner for the seat and has the backing of Mr. Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson. He faces four GOP challengers. Minnesota Senate raceMinnesota was ground zero for the Trump administration's immigration policies earlier this year, drawing national scrutiny after the fatal shootings of two American citizens by federal agents in Minneapolis. And the issue is front and center in this year's primaries as candidates eye the Democratic and Republican nomination for an open Senate seat. On the Democratic side, a dynamic familiar to the 2026 midterms is playing out between Rep. Angie Craig, a centrist candidate backed by a slew of national Democrats, and Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a progressive endorsed by the likes of Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Amid the debate over immigration enforcement, Craig has faced criticism over her previous stances, including her vote last year for the Laken Riley Act immigration enforcement bill, while Flanagan has been unequivocal in her opposition to the administration's immigration policies. But Craig's supporters have argued that the four-term congresswoman is the more electable candidate, especially as Flanagan has been tied to the Minnesota governor's handling of the multimillion-dollar fraud schemes in the state.On the GOP side, among those vying to be the Republican nominee are Michele Tafoya, a former sports broadcaster, former basketball player Royce White and Adam Schwarze, a retired Navy SEAL. And although Minnesota hasn't elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, the GOP is hoping to make inroads as it seeks to hold on to control of the chamber next year, seeing some opportunity in a state that former Vice President Kamala Harris won by just four points in 2024.Minnesota House racesRep. Ilhan Omar occupies a safe Democratic district in Minneapolis, where the winner is favored to win in November. Omar was first elected in 2018 in an open election, but she has faced centrist opposition in primaries since then.In this year's contest, she faces four primary challengers, but she is expected to win the nomination again. Alabama House races After the Supreme Court ruling in May that narrowed Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, which required majority Black districts in some states, Alabama postponed its House primaries until Aug. 11 so state lawmakers could redraw the districts.Alabama is currently represented by two Democrats and five Republicans, and Republicans redrew their maps to make the 2nd District more friendly to Republicans, endangering Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures, who won the seat in 2024. Sabato Crystal Ball now considers the seat likely Republican.Rhett Marques is the frontrunner in the GOP primary for that seat, with the backing of Mr. Trump, Alabama Sen. Katie Britt and House GOP leadership. Marques is facing five challengers on Tuesday. Connecticut Democratic Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont is running for reelection, and is facing a primary challenger — the first time in 50 years that an incumbent governor in Connecticut has been challenged in the primary, according to CBS Hartford affiliate WFSB. According to a poll from Sacred Heart University and CT Insider, Lamont is leading Democratic state Rep. Josh Elliott by 35 points. Republican Ryan Fazio is not facing any challengers on Tuesday. The same poll found Lamont leading Fazio by 20 points in a general election, and Elliott had a nearly 20-point lead over Fazio as well.Rep. John Larson of the 1st District is also facing primary challengers for the first time since he was elected in 1998. Larson and his three challengers — former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, West Hartford state Rep. Jillian Gilchrest and Hartford Board of Education member Ruth Fortune — agree on key policy issues, but the race has focused on generational change. Bronin, Larson's most well-known and best-funded opponent, has zeroed in on Larson's age — 78 — and long tenure in Congress. Vermont Two Democrats are vying to take on Vermont's Republican Gov. Phil Scott in November: Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards. Scott is running for a sixth term, but a University of New Hampshire poll from July found that he has his lowest approval rating since April 2022. Neither Janoo nor Richards has held elected office before, making a November challenge difficult. In Vermont's at-large congressional district, Republicans Gerald Malloy and Mark Coeste are vying to take on incumbent Democratic Rep. Becca Balint. But the same July UNH poll found that both would trail her in a general election matchup. 
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