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5 takeaways from Trump’s primetime speech on elections

(CNN) — President Donald Trump’s primetime address from the White House on Thursday night didn’t make huge news.

But the speech about potential vulnerabilities in the American election system could be one we look back on as a significant moment — particularly as a preview of how Trump might try to undermine the 2026 election.

Here are some takeaways from the speech.

Little in the way of new evidence

Much like his primetime address on the Iran war back in April, Thursday’s was a speech that probably could have been a daytime press conference.

Trump’s big reveal was a series of newly declassified documents that he claimed were hidden from both him and the American people and that showed the American election system is “catastrophically short” of the standard required.

But an early CNN review of the documents finds that they largely discuss previously known potential vulnerabilities in the American election system and issues that were included in a 2021 assessment from the US intelligence community.

Much of what was newly released appears not to have been thoroughly vetted. Indeed, Trump in his speech at one point alluded to “raw intelligence.”

Perhaps tellingly, before he alleged this huge cover-up, the first big piece of supposed evidence he cited was China allegedly obtaining hundreds of millions of US voter files.

But that 2021 assessment alluded to this. It found that China “probably also continued longstanding efforts to gather information on US voters and public opinion; political parties, candidates and their staffs; and senior government officials.”

It assessed that China had done this since at least 2008 to inform how it could influence US policy. But it also assessed that China didn’t actually interfere in the 2020 election.

Trump also at one point alluded to China, as of 2019, “undermining domestic confidence” in him. But that’s not election interference.

Indeed, he didn’t allude to evidence that anything actually swung votes or changed the results of elections.

And after the speech, conservative journalist John Solomon, who worked with the White House on releasing the documents, acknowledged that the intelligence community had “zero evidence that a foreign power flipped a vote in 2020, 2022 or 2024” — a pretty striking admission next to Trump’s years of claims.

A big warning about Trump and the 2026 election

But that doesn’t mean the speech wasn’t significant. It is — as a potential statement of intent.

Given Trump’s history of falsely claiming elections that don’t go his way are rigged — and the violence that resulted on January 6, 2021 — his decision to give this speech less than four months ahead of an election that looks really tough for the GOP should send shivers down the spine of the American body politic.

Trump didn’t preview a heavy-handed effort by the federal government to get more involved in election administration around the country — things like upending voting procedures or putting troops at polling places — as some of his critics have feared.

But he did seem to preview another episode of claiming elections were stolen.

“Put together, these disclosures reveal an election system so broken and so vulnerable that no one can possibly defend it,” Trump claimed. “It is not defensible.”

He even hyperbolically said American elections were “worse than any Third World country.”

He said the federal government would be “working closely (with states) to mitigate any harm, and we’re taking swift action to ensure that sensitive voter data is better protected.”

And Trump made clear he’s happy to call the next election rigged — especially if Congress doesn’t pass the elections legislation he’s been demanding, the “SAVE America Act.”

“But most importantly, addressing this crisis of election security demands that Congress must pass the SAVE America Act,” Trump said.

He paused for effect, even sounding somewhat angry.

Then he added: “How easy is that to do? Unless you want to cheat. The only reason you wouldn’t do it is you want to cheat because your policies are so bad and your candidates are so pathetic that you can’t get elected any other way.”

The “SAVE America Act” doesn’t actually appear to have a chance to pass. And some prominent members of Trump’s own party have urged him to accept that fact.

If and when Congress doesn’t pass it, though, it’s not difficult to imagine what Trump might say after the 2026 election if Republicans lose.

All 24 Democratic governors put out a statement after the speech alleging Trump intended to “intimidate and silence voters.”

“It’s deeply alarming that President Trump continues to try to undermine free and fair elections,” the Democratic governors said. “No amount of lies and conspiracy theories can change the fact that our country’s elections have repeatedly been proven to be safe and secure.”

Not much relitigating of 2020

While some anticipated Trump would use the speech to continue relitigating his 2020 election loss, he didn’t dwell on that as much as many predicted.

Sure, saying the election system is woefully inadequate feeds into Trump’s claims about the election six year ago, but he didn’t allude to many specifics from that race.

In addition to the China allegations, Trump referenced FBI files citing potential voter registration fraud in Michigan in 2020. But this issue has been known about for years. Trump suggested it had been covered up, though, and said he would have FBI Director Kash Patel look into it.

Just a reminder: Trump’s own appointees from his first term, including former Attorney General William Barr, have said his claims about the 2020 election being stolen were bogus. And courts that dealt with fraud claims from Trump and his allies in the months after that election found virtually none of them had merit.

On Thursday, Trump mocked the government officials who labeled 2020 the “most secure election” in American history and alleged members of the “deep state” were covering up what really happened. But he didn’t repeat his frequent false claim that he actually won.

Trump’s typical false claims

Trump gave broadcasters a difficult choice on Thursday night: Whether to give him primetime air for a speech whose contents they weren’t sure of — and on a topic that Trump is well-known for lying about.

Some, including CNN, opted not to air the speech on TV. (Democratic presidents like like Barack Obama and Joe Biden also had primetime speeches that weren’t carried by some stations.)

White House spokesman Steven Cheung claimed that the broadcasters who didn’t air the speech were “cowards” who “don’t want you to hear the truth.”

But within moments of starting his speech, Trump made false claims about inheriting the worst inflation in 48 years and the Biden administration letting in more than 11,000 murderers — neither of which is true.

Trump’s speech was also exceedingly political, as evidenced by his frequent claim about opponents of the “SAVE America Act” just wanting to cheat.

Trump was probably preaching to the choir

It remains to be seen just how much impact Trump’s speech has. This is an issue that largely speaks to a portion of his base, and relatively few others.

A Reuters-Ipsos poll in April showed just 31% of Americans said the 2020 election was stolen from Trump, compared to 64% who disagreed with that.

When it comes to the broader issue of whether Americans are inclined to believe there is voter fraud, there’s a little more for Trump to work with.

The same poll showed Americans were more evenly split on whether there were a “large number of fraudulent ballots cast by noncitizens,” which 46% agreed with.

Trump and some Republicans have made this a big part of their “SAVE America Act” push, but there is scant evidence that noncitizen voting is actually a problem.

Some in the conservative movement have passionately pushed that legislation. But it doesn’t appear to be a major point of emphasis for the American people.

The-CNN-Wire
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La base de seguidores leales de Trump se está reduciendo

Pocos factores han marcado la política estadounidense durante la última década como la influencia del presidente Donald Trump sobre sus seguidores.Aunque carece de una popularidad generalizada, la opinión extensiva ha sido durante mucho tiempo que Trump despierta una devoción tan intensa en una gran parte de su base de partidarios que lo convierte en una fuerza poderosa.Cada vez hay más razones para creer que esta sabiduría convencional ya no es válida.Una nueva encuesta del Washington Post-Ipsos es simplemente el dato más reciente que sugiere que la base de seguidores incondicionales de Trump no solo se ha reducido significativamente, sino que ahora es históricamente bastante pequeña.La encuesta de Post-Ipsos revela que solo el 15 % de los estadounidenses aprueba firmemente a Trump, lo que equivale a menos de una de cada seis personas. Se trata del porcentaje más bajo registrado en la historia de la encuesta.Para contextualizar, encuestas anteriores del Post y del Post-ABC indicaron que, tras su investidura y en febrero de 2025, el 27 % de los estadounidenses aprobaba firmemente a Trump. Y en los días posteriores al polémico ataque al Capitolio del 6 de enero de 2021, esa cifra también fue del 27 %.Otros puntos destacables de la nueva encuesta:Por primera vez en los datos de la encuestadora, un porcentaje significativamente mayor de sus seguidores lo aprobó solo “en cierta medida” (22 %) en lugar de “firmemente” (15 %).Tan solo el 41 % de los republicanos y el 43 % de los votantes de Trump en 2024 lo aprobaron firmemente.Y solo el 6 % de los independientes lo aprobaban firmemente, en comparación con el 51 % que lo desaprobaban firmemente.Incluso entre el que se supone que es el grupo demográfico más importante para Trump —los votantes blancos que no se graduaron de la universidad— solo el 24 % lo aprobaba firmemente.Esta encuesta no es casualidad. De hecho, es al menos la cuarta encuesta reciente de alta calidad que muestra que el porcentaje de personas que aprueban firmemente a Trump ha caído.Si bien la última encuesta de la Universidad de Quinnipiac mostró que el 27 % aprobaba firmemente a Trump (en ese caso, de los votantes registrados), otras encuestas han situado esa cifra significativamente más baja.En esas otras encuestas, ha sido del 21 % (NPR-PBS-Marist), 20 % (Fox News), 19 % (AP-NORC), 16 % (Facultad de Derecho de Marquette), 15 % (Post-Ipsos) y 14 % (Reuters-Ipsos).Algunas de estas cifras representan mínimos históricos. Otras se acercan a los niveles que tenía Trump al comienzo de su primer mandato.Pero en la mayoría de las encuestas recientes de alta calidad, el porcentaje de estadounidenses que aprueban firmemente a Trump se sitúa entre 1 de cada 7 y 1 de cada 5.Eso difícilmente describe a un hombre con mano de hierro al frente de un movimiento político a gran escala.Quizás haya logrado derrotar a algunos compañeros republicanos en primarias con baja participación, que suelen estar dominadas por los votantes más apasionados. Pero muy pocos estadounidenses ven lo que Trump está haciendo y lo apoyan firmemente.Otro punto importante: históricamente hablando, el tamaño de la base de seguidores incondicionales de Trump no es tan grande.De hecho, es solo un poco mayor que la que tenía Joe Biden al final de su mandato, cuando las encuestas de CNN mostraban que el 11 % aprobaba firmemente a Biden y las encuestas de Reuters-Ipsos situaban la cifra en el 12 %.En sus peores momentos, los índices de aprobación de Obama a veces caían por debajo del 20 %, pero esto ocurría rara vez.De hecho, solo sucedió una vez en las encuestas del Washington Post-ABC, cuando alcanzó el 18 %. Obama se mantenía mayormente entre el 20 % y el 30 %, aproximadamente el doble de donde se encuentra Trump ahora.Y los índices de aprobación de George W. Bush no cayeron a alrededor del 15 % hasta mediados de su sexto año en el cargo, en 2006. Al final, algunas encuestas mostraron que su número incluso había caído a un solo dígito.Trump aún no está tan mal. Pero esta es solo la prueba más reciente de que su base de apoyo no es tan sólida como se creía, o al menos no lo que solía ser.Desde hace meses, las encuestas indican que muchos republicanos desaprueban a Trump en temas clave, que un número creciente de sus votantes se arrepienten o incluso lamentan haber votado por él en 2024, y que su apoyo entre los votantes blancos de clase trabajadora también está disminuyendo.Pero, sin duda, lo que más importa es la enorme cantidad de gente que dice que le gusta mucho lo que hace. Y eso representa una porción ínfima del público estadounidense en este momento.The-CNN-Wire™ & © 2026 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.
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