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Recent rainfall in DC area just a drop in the bucket, but Hurricane Debby will help

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Many people in the D.C. area were ecstatic to see downpours this past weekend following a very dry summer start. But the region has more hills to climb to eradicate an ongoing drought.

Baltimore-Washington International Airport topped the list with an excess of 3 inches of rain this weekend. Pockets from D.C. to the Allegheny Highlands got the short end of the stick with a half-inch of rain or less. While the grass in spots will green up, keep in mind this drought is far from finished.

This is D.C. region’s 39th driest summer (so far) with just over 6 inches of rain. The District to the Blue Ridge needs 3 inches of rain to get removed from the drought. It’s a much different story from the Shenandoah Valley to the Allegheny Foothills where rainfall deficits of 4 to 6 inches. It means that at least one hurricane will have to track in a sweet spot to help this area fully recover.

Map of Areal Precipitation and Departure From Average
(Courtesy NOAA)

Speaking of hurricanes and tropical systems, Hurricane Debby has landed and will produce widespread and beneficial rain. There’s no doubt that the Carolinas will be inundated with flooding as Debby slides toward the Southeast Atlantic coast this week. Its Western flank will bring the D.C. region beneficial rain late this week into the weekend.

Will Debby’s rain be enough to completely eradicate the drought?

Most likely at least the southern suburbs will be drought-free when the Drought Monitor updates on Thursday, Aug. 15.

West of the Blue Ridge is in an extreme drought, perhaps tipping the scale at a level 4 (exceptional) drought when the Drought Monitor updates later this week thanks to the ongoing lack of rain and hot weather. Debby will help, but rain amounts will be lower west of the Blue Ridge, so this zone of real estate will have to wait a bit longer.

Map of Precipitation
(Courtesy NOAA)

Rivers, creeks and streams are running well below average and farmers are reporting significant crop loss, in some cases, a total loss, from this summer’s drought west of D.C. The soil has completely dried out to several inches below the ground west of the District.

A steady light to moderate rain will help the most as downpours will only run right off into the nearby creeks, streams and rivers.

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Hot, humid week ahead for DC area with severe storm risk

A dangerous heat wave will grip the D.C. area through Thursday, with highs in the mid to upper 90s and heat index values between 100 and 105. Hot and humid conditions are expected through Thursday, according to the National Weather Service, which said to expect daily thunderstorm chances and a risk of severe thunderstorms. 7News Meteorologist Eileen Whelan told WTOP that most of Tuesday will stay dry, but a few late-day thunderstorms are possible, especially north and east of D.C. as storms drift south from Pennsylvania. Any storm could produce damaging wind gusts and hail, but Whelan reiterated "storm chances are low" on Tuesday. Due to a lack of air conditioning, Parkdale High School in Riverdale, Maryland, closed early at 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday, Prince George's County Public Schools said in a social media post.
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