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DC’s forecast suggests cherry blossom peak bloom is days away

Just as the first day of spring arrives Monday, Mother Nature will be on cue with peak bloom of the Yoshino cherry blossoms at the District’s Tidal Basin this week.

The ‘puffy white’ stage was reached on Saturday. This is the final step before peak bloom, the day in which 70% of the cherry blossoms are open.



On average, four days pass between the ‘puffy white’ stage and peak bloom, which implies Wednesday will be peak bloom this year. But the upcoming weather pattern favors the cherry blossoms blooming later in the week.

Last year provides a similar model in terms of the timing of the ‘puffy white’ stage being reached (it was March 19 in 2022, one day later than this year). Temperatures rebounded to the 60s and 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s after the ‘puffy white’ stage so that peak bloom occurred two days later on March 21.

A list of the dates between the cherry blossoms’ puffy white and peak bloom stages over the past 18 years and the average time lag between those final two stages. (Courtesy National Park Service)

Last year illustrated the role that weather plays in peak bloom. Mother Nature is setting the stage for the Tidal Basin to once again reap the benefits of this week’s weather.

However, the chilly early week temperatures will allow for more of a sputtering transition between the two stages.

Morning lows will steadily rebound from the 20s Monday to the 40s later in the week. Meanwhile, highs warm up from the 50s at the start of the week to the 70s by Thursday.

This will allow temperatures to warm 15 degrees above average later this week under generally mostly sunny skies — except for Wednesday into early Thursday as a warm front passes through the region.

D.C. is likely not going to see peak bloom on Wednesday, but it’s a sure bet to occur no later than early this weekend thanks to the warmth slated for Thursday. Then, temperatures will drop to several degrees late Friday into Saturday, but overnight lows will stay well-above freezing.

The cherry blossom trees near the Tidal Basin in D.C. on March 19, 2023, just before peak bloom. (WTOP/Jessica Kronzer)

Stay tuned to WTOP for the announcement on when peak bloom is reached! Stay with WTOP for the latest weather forecast on the 8’s!

Hot, humid week ahead for DC area with severe storm risk

A dangerous heat wave will grip the D.C. area through Thursday, with highs in the mid to upper 90s and heat index values between 100 and 105. Hot and humid conditions are expected through Thursday, according to the National Weather Service, which said to expect daily thunderstorm chances and a risk of severe thunderstorms. 7News Meteorologist Eileen Whelan told WTOP that most of Tuesday will stay dry, but a few late-day thunderstorms are possible, especially north and east of D.C. as storms drift south from Pennsylvania. Any storm could produce damaging wind gusts and hail, but Whelan reiterated "storm chances are low" on Tuesday. Due to a lack of air conditioning, Parkdale High School in Riverdale, Maryland, closed early at 10:30 a.m. on Tuesday, Prince George's County Public Schools said in a social media post.
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