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UK interest rate cut expected in March after inflation drop

LONDON (AP) — Inflation in the U.K. fell to a 10-month low largely on the back of lower food and gas prices, official figures showed Wednesday, a downward move that has reinforced expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates in March.

The Office for National Statistics said the consumer prices index was 3% higher in January than the year before, down from 3.4% in December.

The decline was in line with analysts’ expectations and puts inflation well on the path to the central bank’s target of 2% over the coming months. When keeping its main interest rate on hold at 3.75% at its last meeting earlier this month, the bank predicted that inflation would be back at target by April.

The further fall in inflation will provide some relief for the Labour government, which has seen its poll ratings fall sharply since it returned to power in July 2024, partly because of cost-of-living pressures.

”Cutting the cost of living is my number one priority,” Treasury chief Rachel Reeves said Wednesday.

Inflation is set to hit the target in April, largely because of government action. In her budget last November, Reeves announced that she would be cutting some taxes to get domestic energy bills down.

With inflation down, an interest rate reduction in March is now widely expected. The bigger question in financial markets is how many further reductions there will be this year.

“Inflation is set to fall further in coming months, falling back to 2% in the near future, which should open up further rate cuts later this year,” said Luke Bartholomew, deputy chief economist at asset management firm Aberdeen.

Beijing bans 4 New Zealand lawmakers from entering China because they visited Taiwan

WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — Beijing banned four New Zealand lawmakers from traveling to China for a year and demanded they apologize because they visited Taiwan on a parliamentary trip, according to a message from the Chinese embassy conveyed via parliamentary officials and shown to The Associated Press on Thursday. China has hit lawmakers from other countries with sanctions related to contact with Taiwan before, but it's the first time for New Zealand parliamentarians, the government in Wellington said. Beijing has been increasing pressure in recent years on the democratically governed island that it claims as its own territory. Two lawmakers reached by the AP on Thursday rejected the demand for an apology, while the other two could not be immediately reached. New Zealand's government said it would express concern about the travel bans to Beijing. The elected officials visited Taipei in May, as New Zealand parliamentarians have done “for decades,” a spokesperson for Foreign Minister Winston Peters said in a statement.
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